Volume 20, Issue 4 (1-2016)                   EPRJ 2016, 20(4): 71-106 | Back to browse issues page

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1- ferdowsi university of mashhad
2- ferdowsi university of mashhad , Sabahi@um.ac.ir
Abstract:   (10525 Views)
This paper examines whether in the analysis of the impact of monetary policy, the exchange rate can play a role along with the interest rate as a transmission mechanism of monetary policy effects on economic variables or not? For this purpose, the general dynamic stochastic equilibrium models were used in the form of a New Keynesian small open macro-economy; accordingly, in this study, the Bayesian approach has been implemented to obtain the estimates of parameters and conclusion in this model. To this end, Dynare was used, which is a general and suitable tool for Bayesian estimation in the context of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. This model was designed for the economy of Iran, considering oil-based economies and the currency substitution existence. Then, its calibration and simulation were conducted with Iran's economic data for the period 1995-2011. The results from model validation, univariate and multivariate recognition of Markov Monte Carlo chain and analysis of the model impulse responses show that in Iran's economy, the exchange rate plays a role along with the interest rate as a monetary transmission mechanism.
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Type of Study: Research |
Received: Feb 22 2015 | Accepted: Jan 22 2017 | ePublished: Jan 22 2017

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